After a frustrating few weeks, I was able to finish up with a respectable 3-2 record last week. Handicapping the NFL is a difficult proposition, and each week brings new challenges to the table. The Rams put up a pathetic performance in Chicago as the potent Rams offense had no answers for the physical Chicago defense. Rams quarterback Jared Goff struggled for the second time this year when the temperature fell below 30 degrees. In these games, he has thrown five interceptions and has not thrown a touchdown pass. The Rams most likely won’t have any more games affected by weather so lets just put this nugget in a safe place for next season. Below are my final results from last week.
Baltimore + 6.5 over Kansas City- W
New York Giants – 3.5 over Washington- W
Buffalo – 3.5 over New York Jets- L
Los Angeles Rams – 3 over Chicago- L
Seattle – 3 over Minnesota- W
Best Bets for Week 15 of the NFL Season
Indianapolis Colts – 3 ( 6-6-1 ATS) vs. Dallas Cowboys ( 8-5 ATS )
Both teams are riding high after big divisional wins last week. The Cowboys basically wrapped up the NFC East with a win over Philly, and the Colts had a huge win over Houston to keep their playoff hopes alive. Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in their last five home games and 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games, but only 2-4 SU in their last six away games. Dak Prescott threw for over 450 yards last week, but also had three key turnovers that kept the Eagles alive in a game that eventually went to overtime. Andrew luck has been great, but the key to the Colts is a young and improving defense. I favor the home team in this matchup and feel the Colts will cover and win a close game.
Tennessee Titans + 2 ( 7-6 ATS ) vs. New York Giants ( 7-5-1 ATS )
The Titans are right in the thick of the playoff race and face a must win game in New York against the Giants. New York was left for dead after starting the season 0-5, but have now won four out of their last five games and are playing quality football. Tennessee has impressive wins over Dallas and New England, but somehow they have also lost to the Bills and were completely annihilated by Indianapolis. It’s tough to gauge exactly what type of effort your going to get from the Titans. With Tennessee in playoff contention, I think your going to get a solid all around team effort. The Titans are 4-2 SU in their last six games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games against New York. The Giants are 4-0-1 ATS over the last five games, but only 4-10 SU in their last 14 home games. It doesn’t look like Odell Beckham Jr. is likely to play which also favors the Titans. The Giants opened up as a 3-point favorite so money is starting to come in on Tennessee. I’m going with Marcus Mariota and the Titans to win straight up and move closer to a playoff berth.
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 ( 8-3-2 ATS ) vs. San Francisco 49ers ( 4-9 ATS )
The Seahawks manhandled San Francisco just two weeks ago and now have won four games in a row as they march towards the playoffs. On Monday night they had their best defensive performance of the season as they shut down Minnesota. The 49ers snapped a three game losing streak with an impressive home win over the Broncos last week. The Seahawks are 5-0 SU in the last five games against San Francisco and 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games against the Niners. San Francisco is 2-9 SU in their past 11 games and 6-15 SU in theirs last 21 games played at home. Early in the week, the line reached 6.5 in favor of Seattle and is now down to 3.5 in some spots. You give me a little over a field goal with Seattle and I’m taking it all day. Take Seattle to win and cover in San Francisco.
New England -2.5 ( 8-5 ATS ) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers ( 6-6-1 ATS )
These teams have played some classic games over the years, and Sunday in Pittsburgh should be no different. Pittsburgh running back James Conner looks to be a game time decision, and even if he plays will not be completely healthy. The Steelers are in desperate need of a win after last weeks horrific loss in Oakland where they were heavy favorites. New England lost a heartbreaker in Miami last week when the Dolphins had a miracle comeback on the last play of the game. The Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five matchups with Pittsburgh and are 17-7 ATS in their past 24 road games. The Steelers are 13-6 SU in their past 19 games played at home, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their past five games. You can look at the numbers all you want, but sometimes you just have to go with your gut. New England has the major coaching advantage and is still fighting for home field throughout the playoffs. Tom Brady and the Patriots will bounce back in Pittsburgh. I’m locking in the Patriots at -2.5.
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Philadelphia Eagles + 11.5 ( 4-9 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Rams ( 5-6-2 ATS )
Before the season started, this was one of the marquee games of the season, but unfortunately the defending Super Bowl champs have struggled and have not been able to capture the magic of last season. They have been decimated by injuries this year including three starters in the secondary that have been lost for the season. Things became worse this week as quarterback Carson Wentz could be out for the season with a broken bone in his back. Last season’s hero, Nick Foles, will start in his place and try and keep Philadelphia’s playoff hopes alive. The Rams looked dreadful last week in Chicago as they lost 15-6 and no longer control their destiny in regards to home field in the playoffs. Los Angeles is 11-2 SU in their past 13 games, yet only 1-2-2 ATS in their last five home games. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Rams, but have really struggled this year going 4-9 ATS. The line opened up with the Rams favored by 8.5 and now has jumped to the Rams favored by 11.5 due to the Wentz injury. I believe this line adjustment is an overreaction when you consider Philadelphia has a Super Bowl MVP ready to start Sunday night. Nick Foles also has extra motivation as he will be a free agent after the season and has a few more games to try and prove his worth. The Rams will win this game, but look for the Eagles to cover the number and keep the game close.
Original Article: https://www.rotoql.com/qlwire/burns-best-bets-nfl-week-15/