Before we breakdown my best bets for Week 10 of the NFL season, let’s look back at a successful Week 9 where I finished up 5-1 ATS. I unfortunately was completely wrong on the Thursday night game having Oakland + 2.5. The Raiders proceeded to get destroyed by San Francisco and their 3rd string rookie quarterback who made his first start in a primetime game. Due to the pathetic performance by the Raiders, the gambling Gods decided to throw me a bone as I went a solid 5-0 to finish out Week 9. The rest of my picks from Week 9 are below.
Chicago -10 over Buffalo – W
Pittsburgh + 3 over Baltimore – W
Minnesota – 5 over Detroit – W
Atlanta + 1.5 over Washington – W
Tennessee + 6.5 over Dallas – W
Lets move forward with my best bests for week 10 of the NFL Season.
Atlanta Falcons – 4 (3-5 ATS) vs. Cleveland Browns ( 5-4 ATS )
Coming into the week, the Browns have lost four straight games, were blown out by Kansas City last week, and they fired their head coach and offensive coordinator. Brutal. After showing some promise earlier in the year, the Browns went back to being the Browns and have gone gone 6-16 ATS in their past 22 home games. On the flip side, the Falcons come rolling in after a huge win in Washington where the defense held the Redskins to 79 yards rushing and only 14 points. Matt Ryan is quietly having an MVP type season, and has the Falcons offense averaging almost 32 points over its past 3 games. The Browns will be competitive, but Atlanta should win and cover the four points.
Tennessee Titans + 6.5 ( 5-3 ATS ) vs. New England Patriots ( 6-3 ATS )
New England enters the game on a seven game winning streak after losing two of its first three games to begin the season. The Patriots are 18-3 SU in there last 21 games on the road, and they are 5-0 ATS in the last five games against the Titans. The Titans had a dominant victory last week in Dallas as they cruised to a double digit win. Tennessee has struggled this year offensively, but has run the ball well over the past two games averaging over 140 yards on the ground. Tennessee is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games at home. I favor the patriots to win, but the Titans will play well and stay within the number.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 ( 3-5 ATS ) vs. Washington Redskins ( 5-3 ATS )
Washington heads into this matchup leading the NFC East by one game over Philadelphia. The Redskins were thumped last week at home against the Falcons, and were decimated by injuries as they lost three starters including two offensive lineman. The running game has been key to their offensive success so losing starters upfront is a huge loss. The Buccaneers come limping into the game as well with losses in five of their previous six games. Regardless, the Bucs have been competitive and have shown the ability to score points in bunches. They have the number one passing offensive in the league and have averaged over 28 points a game. Tampa is 10-5 SU in their last 15 home games and 4-2 ATS in their past six games against Washington. Look for the Bucs to make just enough plays against the injury riddled Redskins.
Los Angeles Chargers -10 ( 4-4 ATS ) vs. Oakland Raiders ( 2-6 ATS )
If you ever wanted to know what a tanking NFL team looks like the suspense is over. Oakland is that team and it is painful to watch. Oakland has traded their best defensive player, number one wide receiver, and just cut Bruce Irvin who was arguably the best player left on the defense. They are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games and are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games. Los Angeles comes in on a five game winning streak, and is playing like one of the best teams in the NFL. They are 10-4 SU in their last 14 road games at Oakland and that trend should continue. The Chargers are a serious threat in the AFC, and they should roll the Raiders on Sunday afternoon.
New York Giants + 3 ( 3- 5 ATS) vs. San Francisco 49ers ( 3-5 ATS )
San Francisco’s rookie quarterback, Nick Mullens, will get his second start of the season after a lights out performance last week. The 49ers have been hit hard this year with injuries, but have still been competitive which is a credit to second year head coach, Kyle Shanahan. San Francisco has the best ATS record in Monday Night Football history at 46-16-1, but there’s a “but.” In recent years, the Niners have struggled and are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites, which is this coming week. As for the Giants, it’s been a disaster of a season as they only have one win on the board. The Giants do have some offensive weapons and rookie Saquon Barkley is the key to their future success. He is on pace to be just the third player in NFL history with a 1,000 yards rushing and receiving in a season. New York is 4-2 ATS in their last six games on the road and have a 6-3 SU record over the last nine games played against San Francisco. In an even matchup, I’m betting on Eli Manning to out-duel rookie Nick Mullens as the Giants get the road win.
Shawn Burns is one of the newest content writers for BetQL. As a former staffer for the Jacksonville Jaguars and Director of Football Relations at Florida International University, Burns brings a new perspective and unique handicapping techniques to our readers.